Johnson loses lead at U.S. Open

Golf Betting Lines

06/20/2010 - Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dustin Johnson played his first four holes Sunday at six-over par to surrender his lead at the U.S. Open.

Johnson made a triple-bogey at No. 2 when he duffed two shots, including one he struck left-handed. But that was only the beginning of his troubles.

He hit into a hazard at No. 3 and made double-bogey when he couldn't find his ball, and he went out-of-bounds and made bogey at No. 4 -- a hole he eagled Saturday after driving the green with an iron.

Graeme McDowell, meanwhile, picked up a birdie and five pars in his first six holes to take a one-shot lead over Ernie Els at four-under par.

Gregory Havret was two shots off the lead, while Phil Mickelson and Johnson sat four back.

Tiger Woods was one-over par through seven holes, still five off the lead.

Lesseters Golf Betting News

<< New No. 1 Miyazato wins at the shore
Galloway, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ai Miyazato collected her fourth LPGA Tour title of the year on Sunday at the ShopRite LPGA Classic and the victory moved her to No. 1 in the world rankings. Miyazato fired a seven-under 64 on Sunday to co

<< Brewers score five in the ninth to avoid sweep
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rickie Weeks' two-run double jumpstarted a five-run ninth inning, and the Milwaukee Brewers salvaged a game from this three-contest set with Colorado by beating the Rockies, 6-1. Weeks, Corey Hart and

<< Lee, Cubs crush Angels to avoid sweep
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Derrek Lee drove in four runs to help the Chicago Cubs avoid a sweep with a resounding 12-1 win over the Angels. Ryan Theriot collected three hits and scored three runs for Chicago, which dropped the

<< Hamilton, Rangers stay red-hot with win over Astros
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Josh Hamilton went 5-for-6 and drove in the go-ahead run with a single in the top of the 10th inning, as the red-hot Texas Rangers rallied to beat the Houston Astros, 5-4, and complete a three-game sweep.

<< Ellis helps A's edge Cardinals
St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Ellis' pinch-hit sacrifice fly in the eighth inning proved to be the difference, as the Oakland Athletics got by the St. Louis Cardinals, 3-2, in the finale of a three-game interleague series at Busch S

Padres storm back to rout Orioles, take series >>
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Will Venable homered and tied a career- high by driving in four runs to help Jon Garland overcome a shaky start and lead San Diego to a 9-4 win over Baltimore in the last of a three-game interle

Mariners sweep Reds with 1-0 win >>
Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Franklin Gutierrez hit a sacrifice fly in the fourth and Ryan Rowland-Smith tossed six-plus scoreless innings, as the Seattle Mariners snuck past the Cincinnati Reds, 1-0, to complete a three-game series

Ambrose's mishap helps Johnson record first road course win >>
Sonoma, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jimmie Johnson benefited from Marcos Ambrose's mistake during a caution period in the closing laps to win Sunday's Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Infineon Raceway. Ambrose, who was attempting to win his

Blue Jays send 3B Encarnacion to minors >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Toronto Blue Jays have optioned third baseman Edwin Encarnacion to Triple-A Las Vegas and recalled infielder Jarrett Hoffpauir from the same club. Encarnacion went hitless in four at-bats and commi

McDowell makes turn with 3-shot lead >>
Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Graeme McDowell held a three-shot lead when he made the turn Sunday during the final round of the U.S. Open. The 30-year-old from Northern Ireland had one birdie and one bogey in his first nine holes and w

MySportsbook.com, Online Sportsbook and Casino, is celebrating our 9th football season online since our launch in 1997. MySportsbook.com has experienced exponential growth, having taken over $8 billion in Sports and Casino Wagers since we opened our doors.

This year we will accept over $3 billion in wagers. Tens of thousands of winning wagers are created daily for the 300,000 people that have joined our website. In August of 2005, MySportsbook.com was acquired by Sportingbet, a UK company which is publicly traded on the London Stock Exchange. Combined, MySportsbook.com and Sportingbet easily form the world's largest internet sportsbook company and one of the internet's most profitable companies. The acquisition has provided for added transparency and accountability to MySportsbook.com customers and thus provides more safety and security for our customers. Our business is audited by BDO Stoy Hayward, one of the largest auditing firms in London, and our accounts are published quarterly on the London Exchange. We encourage you to take a look around and truly hope you enjoy your experience.

Through advertising deals with the top handicapping sites in the world, MySportsbook.com reaches a global audience and is one of the most commonly visited gaming spots on the Internet.

MySportsbook.com offers the largest selection of casino games and sporting wagers on the Internet. We believe that an educated player is a more responsible gambler, thus we provide you with all of the latest news and handicapping information. MySportsbook.com is your ultimate destination for gaming information and wagering. You can start by signing up in the Casino or Sportsbook. Once you sign up you can use your same login in either the casino or Sportsbook. So do it now and start winning serious money Today!

If at any time you have a question, we have numerous people waiting to help you, so don't be afraid to call our customer service department. We do not take any telephone wagers but we can certainly answer any questions you may have about our service.

MySportsbook.com is officially licensed in Antigua as a preferred licensee recognized by the Directorate of offshore gaming of Antigua and Barbuda.

What more could you ask for from an Online Sportsbook?

How to bet pro football

There is little doubt that the NFL is where the sportsbooks see the most action and also make the most loot. The NFL possesses betting friendly attributes that are unlike any of the other major sports. First off, there are relatively few teams to keep track of in comparison to college football betting or college basketball. And second, these teams play only once a week which makes staying on top of the results much easier than it is in the daily leagues such as the NBA, NHL, and MLB.

These dynamics, along with the sheer excitement of watching and wagering on football, brings more square action to the table than any of the other sports. Almost every Tom, Dick and Harry in America is an NFL expert in their own mind and that is precisely what the oddsmakers prey upon.

Understanding who bets the games is just as important as understanding which teams are playing the games. The market at times will dictate price, which in the betting world means the oddsmakers cater to the public rather than reality.

Knowing the market inside and out is the basis of our NFL handicapping model. That is, our approach to NFL handicapping is of the contrarian or value seeking variety. We will at times place a higher premium on public sentiment than on the fundamentals. This strategy dictates playing dogs and/or lesser competent teams, or teams the public wants nothing to do with. Or better yet, fading the teams the oddsmakers want you to bet on.

Along these same lines, we carry a similar notion that the first week of the NFL season presents one of the ripest opportunities for the astute gambler. This conflicts with conventional wisdom and/or handicapping lore, as most would say it is better to watch a few games and assess each team before jumping in with both feet. That’s all fine and dandy, but there are some interesting trends to exploit in Week 1 and we’d be remiss to ignore them. Let us quickly explain.

Gone are the days of dynasties, where the same core players stay intact and dominate the league year after year. Free agency and player movements can completely transform teams from one season to the next. In today’s parity-driven NFL, poor teams typically don’t stay poor for all that long and excellent teams must constantly reinvent themselves to stay on top.

The temptation might be to assume prior year results are the best indicator of who is going to cover in Week 1. To Joe Public, playoff teams from the prior season, home teams, favorites, and so one, look even more enticing than usual since there is no current season performance to judge them against. But the question begs: are the oddsmakers setting a trap?

To find the answer, we culled five years worth of Week 1 NFL data. As always, all of our analysis is done from an ATS perspective. The purpose here is to share the most important angles we unearthed and try to explain the logic behind them. So strap on your helmet, throw on your shoulder pads, and follow our lead as we expose some rare holes in the oddsmakers’ line of defense.

Home vs. Away Teams

Over the past five seasons, NFL home teams in Week 1 are just 31-42-7 ATS (42 percent). This of course implies that roadies are a 58 percent winning proposition during this time. The public at large has a tendency to overvalue home teams and this is especially true in Week 1 when there is no current season data to make predictions from. Consequently, the oddsmakers almost surely shade the home teams, by and large making road teams the choice for the value player.

Conclusion: Look long and hard at road teams first when handicapping the opening week.

Price ranges

Favorites are just 31-42-7 ATS (42 percent) in the opening week over the past five NFL seasons (Coincidentally, home teams hold the same ATS record as noted above). This means that underdogs bark at a 58 percent clip. Mid-range favorites performed the worst among our specified price ranges. In particular, favorites priced between –3 1/2 and –6 1/2 are only 8-15 ATS (35 percent) during this time.

The same basic pattern holds true when looking at home favorites (road favorites gravitate towards a 50 percent mean). Home favorites indeed are just 21-32-3 ATS (40 percent) in the first week of NFL action since 1999. Again, mid-range favorites are similarly the poorest performers when we look at home teams. Consider that home teams priced between –3 1/2 and –6 1/2 have stumbled to a 6-13 ATS (32 percent) mark in Week 1 games the past five seasons.

Conclusion: Like home teams, favorites and particularly mid-range favorites are generally overvalued in Week 1.

Playoff teams

It might surprise you to learn that playoff teams from the prior year versus non-playoff teams from the prior year are a mere 16-23-3 (41 percent) ATS in NFL Week 1 games over the past five seasons. Home teams which made the playoffs versus teams which did not make the playoffs from the prior season drop to a meager 7-14-1 ATS (33 percent) during this time.

Why are playoff teams, and in particular those at home, such bad bets the past five openers? Just as the case with home teams and with favorites, oddsmakers intentionally overprice playoff teams in the opening week to compensate for the public’s propensity to over bet them.

This theory holds true just looking at straight-up records from the past season as well. That is, home teams with winning records from the prior season vs. road teams with losing records from the prior season are just 8-13 ATS in Week 1 NFL games since 1999.

Conclusion: Playoff teams from the prior year and in particular, home playoff teams, are overvalued in Week 1 NFL games.

Scoring defense and scoring offense

Do good defenses and for that matter good offenses from the prior season fare better against the number the following year in Week 1 games? Well, sort of. Generally speaking, teams with a solid offense or defense from the prior season tend to do well in the opening week so long as they are on the road. As a host, however, the best offenses and best defenses from the prior year tend to be overvalued in Week 1.

Consider that the top five scoring defenses (i.e. points allowed) from the prior season are a nice 8-4 ATS (66 percent) on the road in NFL openers the past five seasons. Meanwhile, the top five scoring defenses from the prior season are just 3-8-2 ATS (27 percent) as a host in Week 1 during the same time period.

There is no discernable advantage or disadvantage for teams with a top five scoring offense (i.e. points scored) in Week 1 games. However, when we look at scoring offenses from the bottom up (isolating the five worst offenses from the prior season), the results are rather interesting. In particular, teams ranked in the bottom five in scoring offense from the prior season are 9-4-1 ATS (69 percent) when on the road in Week 1.

The logic is simply that the public perception is a poor scoring offensive unit from the year prior will have little chance of winning on the road in Week 1. In turn, the oddsmakers compensate for this perception and these poor offensive teams from the year prior carry extra line value on the Week 1 trail.

Conclusion: Teams with top-ranked defenses from the previous season are good bets when playing on the road, but poor bets when playing at home. Also, teams ranked among the bottom five in scoring offense from the prior season are generally a good value in their Week 1 openers, provided they are playing on the road.

Scoring margin

An exceedingly straightforward way of measuring scoring offense and scoring defense together as a whole is to look at a team's “margin." Margin is simply scoring offense minus scoring defense, which is a fairly clear-cut measure of how a team does on both sides of the ball. Typically, the higher the margin, the better the team.

In this regard, it might seem counterintuitive that teams carrying the higher margin from the prior season in week one matchups are merely 31-42-7 ATS (42 percent). Furthermore, road teams with the higher margin are 14-20-6 ATS (41 percent), while home teams with the higher margin are 17-22-1 ATS (44 percent). Once again, these results line up with the theory that better teams from the prior year are overvalued come opening day of the following season.

Conclusion: “Better” teams, which often boast a higher margin than their opponent, are overvalued the following season in NFL openers.

In sum

Oddsmakers cater NFL betting lines to match public perception and also to bait the public into poor bets. The temptation to use the prior year’s success as a buy sign for how a team will perform against the spread in Week 1 of the following season is an enormous trap.

The fact is, isolating road teams, road dogs, non-playoff teams vs. playoff teams, teams with a losing record or low margin vs. playoff teams or ones with a high margin from the previous year is where the line value resides. Quite simply, taking the road less traveled is your surest path to NFL betting profits.

To visit this sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your Sportsbook accepts Visa needs.